Thought experiment is not science
Tuesday, May 15th, 2007
Today’s cover story in Salon is an interview with biologist Lewis Wolpert, who argues that the propensity for religious belief is wired into our biology and is an evolutionary product of natural selection.
Wolpert is an atheist. He theorizes that the ability of early humans to understand causality—pounding this nut with this rock will break it open—enabled tool-making, which was an evolutionarily successful strategy. And thus the establishment of this causal worldview necessitated an explanation for everything:
Salon: So once you have an understanding of cause and effect, then ignorance is no longer tolerable? You want to explain everything.
Wolpert: Exactly. You know, we cannot tolerate not knowing the causes of things that affect our lives.
There’s a fairly logical flow of reason to this theory, and I’m all for thought experiments. But is this science? Perhaps Wolpert doesn’t claim any particular authority for this argument. But wait, right there in the title of his new book, Wolpert hauls in the “evolutionary explanation” juggernaut: Six Impossible Things Before Breakfast: the Evolutionary Origins of Belief. The problem here is that Wolpert’s ideas may be reasoned, but they are not evidenced. Science is an evidence-based discipline. The fact that Wolpert is an eminent (developmental) biologist may only exacerbate the problem, since so much authority is accorded to scientists. You know, because their discipline is so evidentiary.
Well, despite his training and esteemed contributions to science, perhaps Wolpert has relaxed his criteria for discerning facts. But what’s this about lack of evidence for qi, the energy manipulated by acupuncturists?
Salon: Maybe the scientific instruments that we have at our disposal just can’t detect anything about qi.
Wolpert: Sorry. When they invented qi, how in the hell did they know what an energy field was? They hardly had a concept of energy. I mean, if you go back and look at their evidence, I’m afraid it was a nice set of ideas, but I’m terribly sorry, evidence matters. And that’s what causal beliefs are really about. If we believe that something has a particular cause, we should be looking for the evidence.
So evidence does matter. But so, apparently, does hubris:
Wolpert: My argument is that causal understanding gave rise to toolmaking; that was the evolutionary advantage. It’s toolmaking that’s really driven human evolution. This is not widely accepted, I’m afraid, but there’s no question about it. It’s tools that really made us human. They may even have given rise to language.
No question about it? There must be a great deal of evidence for there to be no question about it… But if there were a great deal of evidence, it would be rather well-accepted, wouldn’t it? Let me be clear: intellectual discourse makes me happy. Let’s talk about the evolution of the psyche. But let’s not imply that it’s science. Evolution is such a fun explanation to invoke, but flinging around adaptive arguments willy-nilly just gets everyone into a lather and makes actual science that much more difficult to integrate into the popular consciousness.




